Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.922600 4.674489 5.511684 6.510091 7.665298 8.956767 10.506629
2025-09-14 2.670688 3.584145 4.708222 6.181709 8.049391 10.323793 13.287282
2025-09-21 2.023691 2.999135 4.302527 6.146310 8.657469 11.924126 16.454255
2025-09-28 1.592611 2.574692 3.983935 6.110825 9.186683 13.410801 19.571842
2025-10-05 1.393037 2.424439 3.995711 6.497501 10.296630 15.746164 24.019295
2025-10-12 1.196802 2.232438 3.900525 6.690249 11.118439 17.723039 28.112512
2025-10-19 1.058412 2.103551 3.874102 6.968389 12.076339 19.959696 32.749525
2025-10-26 0.900470 1.907199 3.700467 6.972974 12.584971 21.536173 36.493289
2025-11-02 0.736854 1.666045 3.407951 6.728117 12.642021 22.386171 39.145385
2025-11-09 0.606020 1.460957 3.145269 6.492797 12.674574 23.176831 41.734878
2025-11-16 0.526049 1.344007 3.028961 6.504575 13.130041 24.691074 45.604625
2025-11-23 0.458554 1.240026 2.920953 6.514240 13.574300 26.208837 49.573163
2025-11-30 0.391480 1.124647 2.775339 6.438156 13.863946 27.502950 53.299352
2025-12-07 0.317826 0.976074 2.533921 6.133121 13.679226 27.927809 55.526647
2025-12-14 0.274820 0.895550 2.430554 6.103901 14.032110 29.361203 59.661619
2025-12-21 0.237980 0.822557 2.332037 6.070380 14.368539 30.782656 63.863558
2025-12-28 0.227958 0.824045 2.414339 6.455345 15.614582 34.039845 71.708436
2026-01-04 0.209108 0.794618 2.414133 6.647153 16.462679 36.572737 78.325936
2026-01-11 0.195795 0.779346 2.448067 6.923763 17.519218 39.589512 86.055227
2026-01-18 0.173018 0.727275 2.374967 6.928336 17.967619 41.402208 91.529802
2026-01-25 0.144711 0.647972 2.212282 6.684874 17.824376 41.980639 94.578008
2026-02-01 0.121034 0.577684 2.061853 6.450896 17.675823 42.529401 97.588724
2026-02-08 0.107482 0.541612 2.006581 6.462608 18.111993 44.352049 103.314050